Public Trust · Seattle Payroll Tax

The promise
and the piggybank.

Seattle's JumpStart payroll tax was enacted by the City Council in 2020 with dedicated funding for housing, climate, equity, and small business. Six years and $1.5 billion later, the dedications have been converted into suggestions, the oversight committee has been eliminated, and most of the money is filling the general fund.

Sunshine Docket · April 30, 2026 · ~9 minute read

There is a particular thing that happens when a city raises a new tax for a stated purpose, collects more money than projected, and then quietly redefines what the money is for. The thing has a tax-policy term: revenue conversion. The tax stays. The taxpayers still pay. What the money is used for stops matching what the tax was sold to do. Seattle's JumpStart payroll tax is the cleanest local example of revenue conversion in recent memory, and the conversion has now been formalized in city law.

The conversion happened in three stages. The tax was enacted in July 2020 with a stated set of dedicated purposes. Collections beginning in 2021 ran substantially above projection. Beginning with the 2022 budget, the city began transferring some of the overage into the general fund to cover unrelated operating costs. By 2024 the general fund transfers had grown to a meaningful share of total collections. In November 2024, the City Council passed legislation that eliminated the binding spending guardrails, converted the original allocation percentages from "binding" to "suggested," eliminated the oversight committee that monitored spending, and added the general fund as an eligible category in perpetuity.

The tax that the Council enacted in 2020 no longer exists in the form it was enacted. The collection mechanism is the same. The constraints on what the money is for have been removed.

$1.5B+
JumpStart cumulative collections, 2021–2025
71%
Originally pledged to housing & equitable development
$315M
Allocated to general fund in 2025 alone
0
Oversight committee members, post-November 2024

What the tax was sold as

JumpStart was passed by the Seattle City Council on July 6, 2020, by a 7-2 vote. The legislation became law without Mayor Jenny Durkan's signature. It applies to companies with payrolls above an annually-indexed threshold (currently around $9 million) for compensation paid to employees earning above another threshold (currently around $194,000).1 The tax structure is graduated by both company size and employee compensation. A small number of large employers pay the bulk of the tax. The top ten taxpayers account for roughly seventy percent of revenue. Information sector companies, primarily large tech employers, account for nearly forty percent of total revenues.2

In 2021, the Council passed companion legislation establishing the JumpStart spend plan. The plan dedicated revenues to specific categories in specific percentages. Sixty-two percent to affordable housing. Fifteen percent to economic development and small business support. Nine percent to Green New Deal climate projects. Nine percent to the Equitable Development Initiative. Five percent to administration. Combined with the EDI allocation, seventy-one percent of revenues were pledged to affordable housing and equity-related purposes.3

The spend plan was reinforced by what supporters called "guardrail legislation," authored primarily by Councilmember Teresa Mosqueda, the architect of JumpStart. The guardrails specified that revenues collected above the projected baseline would still be allocated according to the established percentages, on the theory that growing revenues meant more affordable housing rather than discretionary spending elsewhere. A JumpStart Oversight Committee was established to monitor compliance.4

The picture presented to the public, to community partners, and to large business taxpayers in 2020 and 2021 was specific. JumpStart would tax large employers to fund affordable housing, equity programs, climate work, and small business support, with binding allocation percentages and an oversight committee. That picture is the basis on which the tax survived a Seattle Metropolitan Chamber of Commerce legal challenge dismissed by a King County judge in 2021.

What was actually collected

JumpStart over-performed its original projections from year one. The tax was projected at enactment to generate approximately $214 million annually. Year one collections totaled $295.4 million for 2021 obligations once all delayed payments were collected. The tax has continued to over-perform original projections in subsequent years, although with significant volatility tied to the technology sector and stock market performance.5

Exhibit 1 · Collections vs. Forecast

Above forecast every year, then a 2024 shortfall

JumpStart payroll tax collections vs. forecast in each year, $ millions
$500M $375M $250M $125M $0 $214M $295M 2021 $219M $255M 2022 $263M $311M 2023 $407M $360M 2024 $430M forecast 2025 Forecast Actual collections
Source: City of Seattle Office of Economic and Revenue Forecasts, 2024 Q4/Year-end Revenue Report; Washington Research Council brief PB 23-03 (June 2023); Capitol Hill Seattle Blog reporting (March 2025). The 2024 forecast reflects the post-rate-hike projection in the 2024 adopted budget; the original 2020-enactment forecast for 2024 was $279.7M. The 2024 actual fell $46.8M short of the higher forecast but still substantially above the original 2020 projection.

Cumulative collections through 2025 are projected to exceed $1.5 billion. The tax has, for most of its life, been the city's fourth-largest revenue source.6 2024 marked the first year collections fell short of forecast, by $46.8 million, a result the city attributed to volatility in technology-sector compensation. The volatility was visible from the beginning. It was used to justify the spending changes that came next.

The conversion, in three stages

Stage one: small transfers, framed as temporary. Beginning with the 2022 budget, the Council authorized transfers of some JumpStart revenue from the dedicated fund into the general fund, with the framing that this was a pandemic-era response to the city's continuing budget challenges. The transfers were modest in absolute terms relative to total collections.7

Stage two: growing transfers, framed as bridge funding. As the city's general fund deficit widened in 2023 and 2024, JumpStart transfers grew. By 2024, the city was using approximately $85 million of JumpStart revenue to balance the general fund budget. The framing during this period was consistent: the transfers were a temporary measure to address a temporary problem, and the original spend plan would be restored once the general fund recovered. The general fund operating gap projected through 2025-2026 reached approximately $268 million per the Council's own framing, with two-year general fund pressure framed as high as $350 million in news coverage.8

Stage three: the conversion itself. Mayor Bruce Harrell's 2025-2026 proposed budget, presented to Council on September 24, 2024, proposed transferring $287 million in 2025 and $223 million in 2026 from JumpStart to the general fund.9 The 2025 figure represented a majority of total annual JumpStart collections. Council deliberations added $28 million more, bringing the 2025 general fund allocation to $315 million in the adopted budget. The proposal also included companion legislation to eliminate the binding spending percentages entirely.

Exhibit 2 · Where the Money Actually Went

The dedicated purposes shrank as the general fund grew

JumpStart allocation by category, $ millions, 2024 actual vs. 2025 adopted
$500M $375M $250M $125M $0 Housing $141M EDI $20M Climate $20M Econ Dev $34M Youth MH $21M General Fund $85M 2024 actual ~$321M allocated Housing $141M General Fund $315M 2025 adopted ~$526M allocated 3.6×
Source: Cascade PBS analysis of Seattle City Council policy report, May 2024 (2024 actuals); Seattle City Council 2025-2026 Adopted Budget (Nov 21, 2024); The Urbanist coverage. The 2025 general fund figure reflects the adopted-budget total, which exceeded Mayor Harrell's initial $287M proposal after Council deliberations.

The legislation that made it permanent

The legal mechanism for the conversion was Council Bill 120912, passed by the Council on November 21, 2024 by a vote of 7-2, as part of the 2025-2026 Biennial Budget package.10 The full budget package itself passed 8-1, with Councilmember Tammy Morales the sole dissenting vote on the broader budget. The bill made four changes to the JumpStart spending framework, each with structural implications.

First, it added the general fund and a revenue stabilization account as eligible categories for JumpStart spending. Prior to the bill, JumpStart revenues could only be spent on the original dedicated categories. After the bill, the general fund became an eligible spending destination in perpetuity.

Second, it converted the binding spending percentages into "suggested guidelines." The original 62/15/9/9/5 allocation, plus the 2024 youth mental health addition, had been enforceable constraints on Council appropriations. After the bill, the percentages remained as a reference, but the Council was not required to follow them. The guardrails Mosqueda had built into the structure were removed.

Third, it eliminated the JumpStart Oversight Committee. The committee had been the institutional mechanism for monitoring compliance with the original spend plan. Its $100,000 annual budget was redirected to a one-time program effectiveness assessment. The continuing oversight function was eliminated.11

Fourth, it created the Payroll Expense Tax revenue stabilization account, which receives a portion of forecasted JumpStart proceeds each year. This is the only structural change in the bill that constrains Council discretion rather than expanding it. Its function is to buffer the volatility of JumpStart receipts.

The bill's sponsor, Council Budget Chair Dan Strauss, framed the changes as necessary flexibility in a difficult budget cycle. He said: "We're using JumpStart this year to prevent austerity budgeting as we have done every year since the tax has been in place." In the same Budget Committee discussion he characterized the city's fiscal posture more bluntly: "We are in the middle of the storm."12

Strauss's framing is worth reading carefully. The phrase "as we have done every year since the tax has been in place" is an admission that the conversion did not begin in 2024. It began in 2022, the first full year of collections. The tax was never spent on its dedicated purposes alone. The November 2024 legislation made permanent a practice that had been described as temporary for three years.

When we passed JumpStart, we made a promise to our community and a legal commitment to use that funding to create affordable housing, help small businesses, fund the Green New Deal, and spur equitable development. The City of Seattle shouldn't break that promise by raiding JumpStart. Councilmember Tammy Morales, JumpStart sponsor (2020), opposing the conversion (2024)

What the comparison shows

The original spend plan dedicated 95 percent of JumpStart revenues to housing, equity, climate, and economic development, with 5 percent to administration. The 2025 adopted budget dedicated approximately 48 percent of JumpStart revenues to those original categories. The 2026 budget reduces that figure further to approximately 47 percent.13

The headline category, affordable housing, illustrates the dynamic. JumpStart was sold as an affordable housing measure first and other things second. The 62 percent allocation to affordable housing, plus the 9 percent to the Equitable Development Initiative which also funds housing, was the load-bearing argument for the tax. In 2024, JumpStart contributed $141 million to affordable housing. In 2025, JumpStart is budgeted to contribute approximately $141 million to affordable housing. The dollar amount is held flat. Total JumpStart collections grew from approximately $360 million in 2024 to a forecast $430 million in 2025. The portion of that growth allocated to housing is zero.

City leadership presented the result as housing investment continuing at level funding, and noted that the 2025 Office of Housing total budget reached $342 million when other funding streams (including a voter-approved 2023 housing levy) were combined. That framing is technically accurate. The structural argument that follows is also worth stating: JumpStart was designed as a percentage allocation specifically so that growing revenues would produce growing housing investment. Holding the JumpStart-funded dollar amount flat as JumpStart revenues grow is the operational definition of treating housing as a residual rather than a priority. The growth in JumpStart revenue is going to other things.

Exhibit 3 · The Promise vs. The Practice

What the spend plan said vs. what the budget did

Allocation by category, percent of total JumpStart spending, 2021 plan vs. 2025 adopted
2021 Spend Plan "binding" Housing 62% EDI 9% Small Biz 15% Climate 9% 5% 2025 Adopted Budget "suggested" General Fund 60% Housing 27% 5% Other 8% The reframing: Housing 62% → 27%. Equitable Development 9% → folded into "other." General Fund 0% → 60%. Allocation rules: "binding" → "suggested." Oversight Committee: dissolved.
Source: Seattle City Council JumpStart Spend Plan (Ordinance 126393, 2021); Council Bill 120912 (Nov 21, 2024); 2025-2026 Adopted Budget; Real Change News reporting (Nov 27, 2024). Percentages calculated against total JumpStart spending in each year, including general fund transfers. 2025 General Fund share calculated as $315M divided by approximately $526M total allocated.

What the conversion looks like in plain language

The plain-language description of what happened is this. The City Council enacted a tax on large employers in 2020. The tax was sold and survived legal challenge on the basis of a specific set of dedicated purposes. The dedicated purposes were enforced by binding allocation percentages, guardrail legislation, and an oversight committee. The tax overperformed its original projections.

Beginning in 2022, the city began using portions of the over-performance to fund things outside the original purposes. The portions grew each year. In November 2024, the city formalized the practice by removing the binding percentages, eliminating the oversight committee, and adding the general fund as an eligible spending category. The same tax now funds whatever the Council decides to fund, with no enforceable connection to the purposes for which it was originally enacted.

This is not a corruption story. No individual benefited improperly. No funds went missing. The conversion was achieved entirely through legal legislative action, and the legislative actions were debated openly in budget committee and on the floor. What happened is structurally different from misconduct. It is the reframing of what a tax exists to do, accomplished while the tax continued to be collected, and accomplished in a way that does not require any new vote of the public the original tax was sold to.

The honest description is that JumpStart in 2026 is not the tax that was enacted in 2020. It collects from the same employers, at adjusted rates, but the constraints that defined its purpose have been legislated away. What remains is a revenue source that the Council can apply to whatever it chooses.

What this implies for the next ask

JumpStart matters beyond JumpStart. It is the cleanest local example of a pattern that recurs in city, county, and state revenue policy. A new tax is enacted or proposed for a stated purpose. The argument depends on the purpose. Once enacted, the constraint between the revenue and the purpose weakens, sometimes through legal change and sometimes through budgetary practice. By the time the public is next asked to approve a tax for a stated purpose, the institutional record of how stated purposes hold up over time should be part of how the ask is evaluated.

Sunshine Docket has documented two related instances. The Seattle voter-approved levy stack has grown from $133 million in 2014 to $570 million in 2026, with portions of the growth being used to backfill operating shortfalls rather than expand services.14 The state of Washington's biennial budget has grown from $52 billion in 2019-21 to roughly $79 billion in 2025-27, with the gap between revenue growth and spending growth being filled by reserves and contested new revenue.15 JumpStart is the city-revenue version of the same pattern.

The August 2026 library levy is the next direct test. Of the $479.7 million proposed levy, approximately $218 million is allocated to maintaining existing branch operating hours and core services rather than to expansion.16 The structural question that follows: when a city converts dedicated revenue into general operating revenue, the case for any subsequent dedicated levy depends in part on whether the institutions writing the levy can demonstrate that prior dedications held. JumpStart's history complicates that demonstration.

The library is not the issue. Libraries are valuable, and the people who work in them deserve their funding. The issue is the structure of the conversation about funding them. When the Council asks the public to approve $479.7 million in property tax to fund existing library operations, the honest version of that conversation includes the question of why those operations are not being funded by the revenue sources originally established to fund them. The question does not have a comfortable answer. The institutions involved are not in a hurry to ask it.

What to watch

Three signals to track over the next eighteen months.

Mayor Wilson's first proposed budget. Mayor Katie Wilson took office on January 2, 2026, and inherited the budget structure that the November 2024 conversion legislation produced. Her first proposed budget for fiscal years 2027-2028 will be the first opportunity for a new administration to either ratify the conversion as a settled feature of the city's revenue structure or to propose restoring binding spending percentages on JumpStart. The proposed budget is typically released in late September. The signal is whether the dedicated-purpose framing returns or whether the discretionary structure carries forward.

The 2040 sunset clause. Council Bill 120912 originally proposed eliminating JumpStart's 2040 sunset date entirely. An amendment from Councilmember Bob Kettle reinstated the sunset, and the bill passed with the sunset preserved. Future Council action to extend or eliminate the sunset would be a meaningful signal that JumpStart is being reclassified as permanent general revenue rather than as a time-limited dedicated tax.17

The next dedicated revenue ask. The Seattle Center renewal levy, expected to exceed $1 billion, is in active preparation. Pike Place Market is preparing a separate infrastructure levy. Mayor Wilson campaigned on universal child care among other affordability initiatives that may eventually take the form of a dedicated levy ask. Each of these will be presented to voters with stated dedicated purposes. Whether the new asks come with binding allocation percentages, oversight committees, and durable guardrails, or whether they come with the softer language of "suggested guidelines," will tell voters what the city has learned from JumpStart's conversion. The Council that converted JumpStart will write those provisions.

The honest read of JumpStart is that the city is now operating with one more revenue source whose purposes are determined by the Council year by year, rather than fixed at enactment. That flexibility may be useful for the Council. It is also a substantial change in the meaning of the original enactment. The tax that was enacted in 2020 with binding dedications is not the tax being collected in 2026. The collection rate has gone up. The collected dollars now go where the Council decides each year.


Notes & Sources

  1. Tax enactment and structure: Seattle City Council 7-2 vote, July 6, 2020; bill became law without Mayor Jenny Durkan's signature. Reported in The Urbanist, "JumpStart Seattle Passes 7-2," July 7, 2020, and The Seattle Times, December 9, 2020. Tax thresholds: Seattle Municipal Code 5.38; Seattle Office of City Finance, Payroll Expense Tax page. 2026 thresholds reflect annual CPI adjustment.
  2. Taxpayer concentration: Washington Research Council, "Seattle's Payroll Expense Tax is Highly Concentrated," PB 23-03, June 26, 2023; City of Seattle Office of Economic and Revenue Forecasts, 2024 Q4/Year-end Revenue Report.
  3. Original spend plan: Seattle City Council Ordinance 126393, 2021. Allocation percentages: 62% affordable housing, 15% economic development, 9% Green New Deal, 9% Equitable Development Initiative, 5% administration. Reported in Cascade PBS, "JumpStart: The fight over how to spend Seattle's big-business tax," October 2024.
  4. Mosqueda guardrail legislation and Oversight Committee: The Urbanist, "Op-Ed: JumpStart Should Remain an Affordable Housing Commitment, Not a Piggybank," October 30, 2024; Real Change News coverage, October 2024.
  5. 2021 collections: Washington Research Council PB 23-03, June 26, 2023, citing $295.4 million through April 2023 forecast. 2022-2024 figures: City of Seattle Office of Economic and Revenue Forecasts, 2024 Q4/Year-end Revenue Report.
  6. Cumulative collections: Sunshine Docket calculation summing 2021 through 2024 actuals ($295M + $255M + $311M + $360M = $1.22B) plus 2025 forecast (~$430M). Total exceeds $1.5 billion through 2025. 2024 shortfall against forecast: $46.8M, per Capitol Hill Seattle Blog reporting on the OERF Q4 report, March 2025.
  7. 2022 transfers: Washington Research Council, PB 23-03, June 26, 2023, noting "the city has approved transfers of some PET revenues to the general fund for 2022, 2023, and 2024."
  8. General fund operating gap: $268 million figure per Seattle City Council press release, "Council adopts strong public safety budget," November 21, 2024. Two-year general fund pressure (~$350M): The Center Square, "Seattle City Council approves expanded use of payroll tax to boost general fund," November 19, 2024.
  9. Mayor Harrell's 2025-2026 proposed budget: presented to Council September 24, 2024. Initial proposal: $287M general fund transfer in 2025, $223M in 2026. Capitol Hill Seattle Blog, March 2025.
  10. Council Bill 120912 passed by a vote of 7-2 on November 21, 2024 (Real Change News, "Finalized 2025-26 city budget emphasizes public safety," November 27, 2024). The full 2025-2026 biennial budget package, which included CB 120912, passed by a vote of 8-1, with Councilmember Tammy Morales the sole dissenting vote on the broader budget package. Seattle City Council press release, November 21, 2024; The Urbanist, "Seattle Council Passes Budget," November 23, 2024.
  11. Oversight Committee elimination: The Center Square report of November 19, 2024. The committee's $100,000 budget was redirected to a one-time program effectiveness assessment.
  12. Strauss quotations: "We're using JumpStart this year to prevent austerity budgeting as we have done every year since the tax has been in place" and "We are in the middle of the storm." Both statements made at the Select Budget Committee meeting on Council Bill 120912. Reported in The Center Square, November 19, 2024, and Cascade PBS, "Seattle will loosen restrictions on spending its big-business tax," November 21, 2024.
  13. 2025 and 2026 dedicated-purpose percentages: Real Change News analysis of Seattle City Budget Office data, October 2024. "In 2025 and 2026, 48% and 47% of JumpStart taxes are proposed to go to core priorities, instead of the 95% that was originally intended."
  14. Levy stack analysis: see Sunshine Docket, "The Levy Stack," available at /reports/levy-stack-article.html.
  15. State biennial budget growth: see Sunshine Docket, "The Check Engine Light," available at /reports/moodys-outlook-article.html.
  16. Library levy expenditure plan: Seattle Public Library levy expenditure plan, attached to Council resolution sending the levy to August 2026 ballot. Approximately $218M of $479.7M allocated to maintaining existing operations.
  17. Sunset clause amendment: Councilmember Bob Kettle's amendment to CB 120912, reinstating the 2040 sunset date that the underlying bill would have removed. Kettle compared removing the sunset to "declaring mission accomplished on the flight deck of an aircraft carrier." Reported in The Center Square and KUOW, November 19-20, 2024.